Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jack Mahoney

COL · AAA · P · Age 25

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score56.6#952 Overall
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Performance50Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor46Lower-end outcome
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Ceiling59High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
50Developing performance profile
Miss ability7.7 K/9Near expected range
Dominance10.3% K-BBBalanced strikeout-to-walk signal
Contact management0.5 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid63How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection37.9
Projected Range15–61
Arrival Probability30%
Productive Role Probability4%
Player Background
OrganizationColorado Rockies
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 52
58 52.5 47 2026-09-02 · Median 53 2026-09-03 · Median 53 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 52.5 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-10-04 · Median 52 2026-10-05 · Median 52 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0552
2026-10-0452
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
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2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
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2026-09-1552
2026-09-1452.5
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0653
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0353
2026-09-0253