Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jack Martinez

STL · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,854
Score48.7
Baseline47
Signal-0.9
Trend0.0
Floor39
Baseline47
Ceiling55
Confidence58 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jack Martinez

STL · High-A · P

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 23.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,854
Prospect Score48.7
Median47
Performance Signal-0.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
394755
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -0.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 43 Latest recorded 47
52 42.5 33 2026-08-11 · Median 43 2026-08-13 · Median 43 2026-08-14 · Median 39 2026-08-16 · Median 39 2026-08-17 · Median 39 2026-08-18 · Median 39 2026-08-19 · Median 39 2026-08-20 · Median 37 2026-08-27 · Median 37 2026-08-28 · Median 37 2026-09-01 · Median 40 2026-09-02 · Median 40 2026-09-03 · Median 40 2026-09-05 · Median 40 2026-09-06 · Median 40 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 47.4 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-10-04 · Median 47 2026-08-11 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0447
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
2026-09-2947
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1447.4
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0640
2026-09-0540
2026-09-0340
2026-09-0240
2026-09-0140
2026-08-2837
2026-08-2737
2026-08-2037
2026-08-1939
2026-08-1839
2026-08-1739
2026-08-1639
2026-08-1439
2026-08-1343
2026-08-1143

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
394755
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -0.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection49.6
Projected range29–71
Arrival probability26%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.