Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jack Natili

COL · Single-A · C · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score54.4#1,163 Overall
Baseline55Most likely outcome
Performance49Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor46Lower-end outcome
Baseline55Most likely outcome
Ceiling64High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
49Developing performance profile
Power.268 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact28.4% KContact risk
On-base foundation.348 OBPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping45How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh8Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationColorado Rockies
LevelSingle-A
PositionC
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 55
60 55.5 51 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.5 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 55 2026-09-30 · Median 55 2026-10-03 · Median 55 2026-10-04 · Median 55 2026-10-05 · Median 55 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0555
2026-10-0455
2026-10-0355
2026-09-3055
2026-09-2955
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1455.5
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0256