Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jack Wenninger

NYM · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#439
Score63.8
Baseline60
Signal-9.8
Trend-0.2
Floor56
Baseline60
Ceiling65
Confidence93 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jack Wenninger

NYM · AAA · P

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 24.6 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#439
Prospect Score63.8
Median60
Performance Signal-9.8
Trend-0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.2
566065
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -9.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 63 Latest recorded 60
68 62 56 2026-08-14 · Median 63 2026-08-16 · Median 63 2026-08-17 · Median 63 2026-08-18 · Median 63 2026-08-19 · Median 63 2026-08-20 · Median 63.1 2026-08-23 · Median 63.1 2026-08-25 · Median 63.1 2026-08-27 · Median 60 2026-08-28 · Median 60 2026-09-01 · Median 60 2026-09-02 · Median 60 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 60 2026-09-06 · Median 60 2026-09-09 · Median 61 2026-09-14 · Median 60.9 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 60 2026-09-24 · Median 60 2026-09-25 · Median 60 2026-09-29 · Median 60 2026-09-30 · Median 60 2026-10-03 · Median 60 2026-10-04 · Median 60 2026-08-14 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 60

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0460
2026-10-0360
2026-09-3060
2026-09-2960
2026-09-2560
2026-09-2460
2026-09-2260
2026-09-2160
2026-09-1961
2026-09-1861
2026-09-1761
2026-09-1661
2026-09-1561
2026-09-1460.9
2026-09-0961
2026-09-0660
2026-09-0560
2026-09-0360
2026-09-0260
2026-09-0160
2026-08-2860
2026-08-2760
2026-08-2563.1
2026-08-2363.1
2026-08-2063.1
2026-08-1963
2026-08-1863
2026-08-1763
2026-08-1663
2026-08-1463

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 93
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.2
566065
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -9.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence93
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection40.4
Projected range18–63
Arrival probability45%
Productive role probability6%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.