Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jackson Ferris

LAD · AAA · P · Age 23

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score71.6#163 Overall
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Performance57Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor63Lower-end outcome
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Ceiling72High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
57Solid current performance
Miss ability9.8 K/9Near expected range
Command4.5 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.48 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Fastball50
Slider55
Curveball50
Changeup50
Control40

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh95How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection42.3
Projected Range20–65
Arrival Probability53%
Productive Role Probability10%
Player Background
OrganizationLos Angeles Dodgers
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 59 Latest recorded 67
72 63.5 55 2026-09-02 · Median 59 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 60 2026-09-06 · Median 60 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 63.4 2026-09-15 · Median 63 2026-09-16 · Median 63 2026-09-17 · Median 68 2026-09-18 · Median 68 2026-09-19 · Median 68 2026-09-21 · Median 68 2026-09-22 · Median 68 2026-09-24 · Median 68 2026-09-25 · Median 68 2026-09-29 · Median 68 2026-09-30 · Median 68 2026-10-03 · Median 68 2026-10-04 · Median 67 2026-10-05 · Median 67 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 67

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0567
2026-10-0467
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2026-09-3068
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2026-09-1463.4
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