Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Jackson Steensma

SEA · Single-A · P

Seattle Mariners · Age at assessment: 22.6 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#445
Prospect Score63.7
Median60
Performance Signal+30.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
556068
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +30.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 61 Latest recorded 60
65 60 55 2026-08-14 · Median 61 2026-08-16 · Median 59 2026-08-17 · Median 59 2026-08-18 · Median 59 2026-08-19 · Median 59 2026-08-20 · Median 59 2026-08-22 · Median 59 2026-08-23 · Median 59.4 2026-08-25 · Median 59 2026-08-27 · Median 59 2026-08-28 · Median 59 2026-09-01 · Median 60 2026-09-02 · Median 60 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 60 2026-09-06 · Median 60 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 60.3 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 60 2026-09-24 · Median 60 2026-09-25 · Median 60 2026-09-29 · Median 60 2026-09-30 · Median 60 2026-10-03 · Median 60 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 60

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0360
2026-09-3060
2026-09-2960
2026-09-2560
2026-09-2460
2026-09-2260
2026-09-2160
2026-09-1960
2026-09-1860
2026-09-1760
2026-09-1660
2026-09-1560
2026-09-1460.3
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0660
2026-09-0560
2026-09-0360
2026-09-0260
2026-09-0160
2026-08-2859
2026-08-2759
2026-08-2559
2026-08-2359.4
2026-08-2259
2026-08-2059
2026-08-1959
2026-08-1859
2026-08-1759
2026-08-1659
2026-08-1461

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 86
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
556068
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +30.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence86
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection60.5
Projected range36–85
Arrival probability7%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.