Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Jackson Steensma

SEA · Single-A · P

Seattle Mariners · Age at assessment: 22.5 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Dominance ahead of the tool grades

Current strikeout and K-BB results are outperforming the verified pitch-quality expectation

High Confidence · 97%
PB Rank#436
Prospect Score64
Median60
Performance61
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Best pitch grade 50; dominance evidence sits near the 92th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • K/9 is 12.7

What could change the read

  • A 2.1 BB/9 gives the profile useful command support

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+42.5 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 93
Command+33.4 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 92

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 60
65 58.5 52 2026-07-23 · Median 56 2026-07-24 · Median 56 2026-07-25 · Median 56 2026-07-26 · Median 56 2026-07-27 · Median 56 2026-07-28 · Median 56 2026-07-29 · Median 56 2026-07-30 · Median 56 2026-07-31 · Median 56 2026-08-01 · Median 57 2026-08-03 · Median 57 2026-08-05 · Median 57 2026-08-07 · Median 57 2026-08-08 · Median 61 2026-08-09 · Median 61 2026-08-10 · Median 61 2026-08-11 · Median 61 2026-08-13 · Median 61 2026-08-14 · Median 61 2026-08-16 · Median 59 2026-08-17 · Median 59 2026-08-18 · Median 59 2026-08-19 · Median 59 2026-08-20 · Median 59 2026-08-22 · Median 59 2026-08-23 · Median 59.4 2026-08-25 · Median 59 2026-08-27 · Median 59 2026-08-28 · Median 59 2026-09-01 · Median 60 2026-09-02 · Median 60 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 60 2026-09-06 · Median 60 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 60.3 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 60 2026-09-24 · Median 60 2026-07-23 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 60

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2460
2026-09-2260
2026-09-2160
2026-09-1960
2026-09-1860
2026-09-1760
2026-09-1660
2026-09-1560
2026-09-1460.3
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0660
2026-09-0560
2026-09-0360
2026-09-0260
2026-09-0160
2026-08-2859
2026-08-2759
2026-08-2559
2026-08-2359.4
2026-08-2259
2026-08-2059
2026-08-1959
2026-08-1859
2026-08-1759
2026-08-1659
2026-08-1461
2026-08-1361
2026-08-1161
2026-08-1061
2026-08-0961
2026-08-0861
2026-08-0757
2026-08-0557
2026-08-0357
2026-08-0157
2026-07-3156
2026-07-3056
2026-07-2956
2026-07-2856
2026-07-2756
2026-07-2656
2026-07-2556
2026-07-2456
2026-07-2356

Metrics to follow

K/9 12.7

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 29.1%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 2.1

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G15
IP43.1
ERA4.57
WHIP1.06
K/912.7
BB/92.1
K-BB%29.1%

Inland Empire 66ers · Single-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
566068
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 61

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence87
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production60.5
Historical 80% error band36–85
MLB arrival in 3 years7%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball50Avg
Slider icon
Slider50Avg
Curveball icon
Curveball45Fringe
Changeup icon
Changeup40Developmental
Command icon
Control55Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCurveballChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels014.502208.06442190.8810.13
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Inland Empire 66ersSingle-A064.571512043.1362322810611.0612.67

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More Seattle Mariners profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.