Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jacob Denner

SEA · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#5,222
Score25.9
Baseline32
Signal-2.7
Trend0.0
Floor22
Baseline32
Ceiling50
Confidence40 Risk79 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Jacob Denner

SEA · High-A · P

Seattle Mariners · Age at assessment: 26.1 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#5,222
Prospect Score25.9
Median32
Performance Signal-2.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
223250
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 32
38 32.5 27 2026-08-16 · Median 33 2026-08-17 · Median 33 2026-08-18 · Median 33 2026-08-19 · Median 33 2026-08-20 · Median 33 2026-08-22 · Median 33 2026-08-23 · Median 33.4 2026-08-25 · Median 33.4 2026-08-27 · Median 31 2026-08-28 · Median 31 2026-09-01 · Median 31 2026-09-02 · Median 31 2026-09-03 · Median 31 2026-09-05 · Median 31 2026-09-06 · Median 31 2026-09-09 · Median 32 2026-09-14 · Median 31.7 2026-09-15 · Median 32 2026-09-16 · Median 32 2026-09-17 · Median 32 2026-09-18 · Median 32 2026-09-19 · Median 32 2026-09-21 · Median 32 2026-09-22 · Median 32 2026-09-24 · Median 32 2026-09-25 · Median 32 2026-09-29 · Median 32 2026-09-30 · Median 32 2026-10-03 · Median 32 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0332
2026-09-3032
2026-09-2932
2026-09-2532
2026-09-2432
2026-09-2232
2026-09-2132
2026-09-1932
2026-09-1832
2026-09-1732
2026-09-1632
2026-09-1532
2026-09-1431.7
2026-09-0932
2026-09-0631
2026-09-0531
2026-09-0331
2026-09-0231
2026-09-0131
2026-08-2831
2026-08-2731
2026-08-2533.4
2026-08-2333.4
2026-08-2233
2026-08-2033
2026-08-1933
2026-08-1833
2026-08-1733
2026-08-1633

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 40
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 79
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
223250
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.7

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 79
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence40
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.