Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jacob Jarrell

ATL · High-A · C

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#4,577
Score30.0
Baseline35
Signal-5.3
Trend0.0
Floor23
Baseline35
Ceiling46
Confidence41 Risk68 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jacob Jarrell

ATL · High-A · C

Atlanta Braves · Age at assessment: 23.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#4,577
Prospect Score30.0
Median35
Performance Signal-5.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
233546
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 35
39 31 23 2026-08-20 · Median 28 2026-08-22 · Median 28 2026-08-23 · Median 27.8 2026-08-25 · Median 27.8 2026-08-27 · Median 28 2026-08-28 · Median 28 2026-09-01 · Median 28 2026-09-02 · Median 28 2026-09-03 · Median 31 2026-09-05 · Median 31 2026-09-06 · Median 31 2026-09-09 · Median 35 2026-09-14 · Median 35 2026-09-15 · Median 35 2026-09-16 · Median 35 2026-09-17 · Median 35 2026-09-18 · Median 35 2026-09-19 · Median 35 2026-09-21 · Median 35 2026-09-22 · Median 35 2026-09-24 · Median 35 2026-09-25 · Median 35 2026-09-29 · Median 35 2026-09-30 · Median 35 2026-10-03 · Median 35 2026-10-04 · Median 35 2026-08-20 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 35

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0435
2026-10-0335
2026-09-3035
2026-09-2935
2026-09-2535
2026-09-2435
2026-09-2235
2026-09-2135
2026-09-1935
2026-09-1835
2026-09-1735
2026-09-1635
2026-09-1535
2026-09-1435
2026-09-0935
2026-09-0631
2026-09-0531
2026-09-0331
2026-09-0228
2026-09-0128
2026-08-2828
2026-08-2728
2026-08-2527.8
2026-08-2327.8
2026-08-2228
2026-08-2028

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 41
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 68
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
233546
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.3

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 68
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence41
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.