Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Jacob Mayers

BOS · High-A · P

Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 22.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,699
Prospect Score50.0
Median48
Performance Signal-6.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
404856
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 48
53 46.5 40 2026-08-14 · Median 44 2026-08-16 · Median 44 2026-08-17 · Median 44 2026-08-18 · Median 44 2026-08-19 · Median 44 2026-08-20 · Median 46 2026-08-22 · Median 46 2026-08-23 · Median 46.1 2026-08-25 · Median 46.1 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 48 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0649
2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2546.1
2026-08-2346.1
2026-08-2246
2026-08-2046
2026-08-1944
2026-08-1844
2026-08-1744
2026-08-1644
2026-08-1444

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 20
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
404856
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 20
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection41.8
Projected range17–67
Arrival probability17%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.