Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jacob Wallace

CHC · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#4,591
Score29.9
Baseline31
Signal-5.8
Trend0.0
Floor23
Baseline31
Ceiling45
Confidence50 Risk34 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jacob Wallace

CHC · AA · P

Chicago Cubs · Age at assessment: 28.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#4,591
Prospect Score29.9
Median31
Performance Signal-5.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
233145
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 26 Latest recorded 31
35 28 21 2026-08-16 · Median 26 2026-08-17 · Median 26 2026-08-18 · Median 26 2026-08-19 · Median 26 2026-08-20 · Median 26 2026-08-22 · Median 26 2026-08-23 · Median 26.2 2026-08-25 · Median 26.2 2026-08-27 · Median 26.2 2026-08-28 · Median 26.2 2026-09-01 · Median 25.9 2026-09-02 · Median 25.9 2026-09-03 · Median 25.9 2026-09-05 · Median 25.9 2026-09-06 · Median 25.9 2026-09-09 · Median 31 2026-09-14 · Median 30.6 2026-09-15 · Median 31 2026-09-16 · Median 31 2026-09-17 · Median 31 2026-09-18 · Median 31 2026-09-19 · Median 31 2026-09-21 · Median 31 2026-09-22 · Median 31 2026-09-24 · Median 31 2026-09-25 · Median 31 2026-09-29 · Median 31 2026-09-30 · Median 31 2026-10-03 · Median 31 2026-10-04 · Median 31 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 31

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0431
2026-10-0331
2026-09-3031
2026-09-2931
2026-09-2531
2026-09-2431
2026-09-2231
2026-09-2131
2026-09-1931
2026-09-1831
2026-09-1731
2026-09-1631
2026-09-1531
2026-09-1430.6
2026-09-0931
2026-09-0625.9
2026-09-0525.9
2026-09-0325.9
2026-09-0225.9
2026-09-0125.9
2026-08-2826.2
2026-08-2726.2
2026-08-2526.2
2026-08-2326.2
2026-08-2226
2026-08-2026
2026-08-1926
2026-08-1826
2026-08-1726
2026-08-1626

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 50
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 34
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
233145
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 34
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence50
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.3
Projected range23–72
Arrival probability4%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.