Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jake Brown

SEA · Single-A · OF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,033
Score55.8
Baseline58
Signal+0.2
Trend0.0
Floor49
Baseline58
Ceiling66
Confidence52 Risk14 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jake Brown

SEA · Single-A · OF

Seattle Mariners · Age at assessment: 21.7 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,033
Prospect Score55.8
Median58
Performance Signal+0.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
495866
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +0.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 58
63 51.5 40 2026-08-20 · Median 44 2026-08-22 · Median 44 2026-08-23 · Median 45.5 2026-08-25 · Median 45.5 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 58.2 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-10-04 · Median 58 2026-08-20 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0458
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1458.2
2026-09-0958
2026-09-0658
2026-09-0558
2026-09-0358
2026-09-0256
2026-09-0156
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2545.5
2026-08-2345.5
2026-08-2244
2026-08-2044

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 52
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 14
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
495866
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +0.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 14
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence52
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection40.2
Projected range22–59
Arrival probability2%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.