Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jake Faherty

TOR · FCL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#6,280
Score14.4
Baseline24
Signal-14.0
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline24
Ceiling35
Confidence34 Risk83 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Jake Faherty

TOR · FCL · P

Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#6,280
Prospect Score14.4
Median24
Performance Signal-14.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202435
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -14.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 32 Latest recorded 24
36 26.5 17 2026-07-21 · Median 32 2026-07-22 · Median 32 2026-07-23 · Median 22 2026-07-24 · Median 21 2026-08-20 · Median 21 2026-08-22 · Median 21 2026-08-23 · Median 21 2026-08-25 · Median 21 2026-08-27 · Median 21 2026-08-28 · Median 21 2026-09-01 · Median 21 2026-09-02 · Median 21 2026-09-03 · Median 21 2026-09-05 · Median 21 2026-09-06 · Median 21 2026-09-09 · Median 24.2 2026-09-14 · Median 24.2 2026-09-15 · Median 24.2 2026-09-16 · Median 24 2026-09-17 · Median 24 2026-09-18 · Median 24 2026-09-19 · Median 24 2026-09-21 · Median 24 2026-09-22 · Median 24 2026-09-24 · Median 24 2026-09-25 · Median 24 2026-09-29 · Median 24 2026-09-30 · Median 24 2026-10-03 · Median 24 2026-10-04 · Median 24 2026-07-21 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 24

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0424
2026-10-0324
2026-09-3024
2026-09-2924
2026-09-2524
2026-09-2424
2026-09-2224
2026-09-2124
2026-09-1924
2026-09-1824
2026-09-1724
2026-09-1624
2026-09-1524.2
2026-09-1424.2
2026-09-0924.2
2026-09-0621
2026-09-0521
2026-09-0321
2026-09-0221
2026-09-0121
2026-08-2821
2026-08-2721
2026-08-2521
2026-08-2321
2026-08-2221
2026-08-2021
2026-07-2421
2026-07-2322
2026-07-2232
2026-07-2132

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 34
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 83
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202435
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -14.0

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 83
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence34
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.