Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jake Walkinshaw

MIA · AAA · P · Age 30

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score11.7#6,389 Overall
Baseline15Most likely outcome
Performance38Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline15Most likely outcome
Ceiling27High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
38Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.3 K/9Near expected range
Command4.8 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.7 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid58How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping50Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.7
Projected Range14–63
Arrival Probability5%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationMiami Marlins
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 19 Latest recorded 15 Change -4.3
24 17 10 2026-09-02 · Median 19.3 2026-09-03 · Median 18.7 2026-09-05 · Median 18.7 2026-09-06 · Median 18.7 2026-09-09 · Median 15 2026-09-14 · Median 14.5 2026-09-15 · Median 14.7 2026-09-16 · Median 15 2026-09-17 · Median 15 2026-09-18 · Median 15 2026-09-19 · Median 15 2026-09-21 · Median 15 2026-09-22 · Median 15 2026-09-24 · Median 15 2026-09-25 · Median 15 2026-09-29 · Median 15 2026-09-30 · Median 15 2026-10-03 · Median 15 2026-10-04 · Median 15 2026-10-05 · Median 15 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 15

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0515
2026-10-0415
2026-10-0315
2026-09-3015
2026-09-2915
2026-09-2515
2026-09-2415
2026-09-2215
2026-09-2115
2026-09-1915
2026-09-1815
2026-09-1715
2026-09-1615
2026-09-1514.7
2026-09-1414.5
2026-09-0915
2026-09-0618.7
2026-09-0518.7
2026-09-0318.7
2026-09-0219.3