Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jansel Luis

ARI · AA · 2B · Age 22

Bats S · Throws R
Prospect Score67.0#293 Overall
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Performance50Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor57Lower-end outcome
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Ceiling67High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
50Developing performance profile
Power.174 ISONear expected range
Contact25.1% KNear expected range
Approach4.9% BBAggressive approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Hit45
Power50
Run60
Field50
Arm50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh94How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection32.9
Projected Range16–50
Arrival Probability60%
Productive Role Probability6%
Player Background
OrganizationArizona Diamondbacks
LevelAA
Position2B
BatsS
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 62 Latest recorded 62
66 61.5 57 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 62 2026-09-06 · Median 62 2026-09-09 · Median 61 2026-09-14 · Median 61.2 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 61 2026-09-25 · Median 61 2026-09-29 · Median 62 2026-09-30 · Median 62 2026-10-03 · Median 62 2026-10-04 · Median 62 2026-10-05 · Median 62 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 62

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0562
2026-10-0462
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2026-09-0562
2026-09-0362
2026-09-0262