Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Jansel Luis

ARI · AA · 2B IL(7-Day)

Arizona Diamondbacks · Age at assessment: 21.6 · Bats: S · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Power tool translating

Current game power is broadly aligned with the verified power grade

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#369
Prospect Score65
Median61
Performance50
Trend-0.3%

Why the player is here

  • Power 50; game-power evidence sits near the 62th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.174

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+1.6 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 43
Game Power+12.2 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 62

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 59 Latest recorded 61
66 58 50 2026-06-04 · Median 59 2026-06-05 · Median 58 2026-06-06 · Median 58 2026-06-07 · Median 58 2026-06-08 · Median 57 2026-06-09 · Median 57 2026-06-10 · Median 55 2026-06-11 · Median 56 2026-06-12 · Median 57 2026-06-13 · Median 56 2026-06-14 · Median 57 2026-06-15 · Median 56 2026-06-16 · Median 56 2026-06-17 · Median 55 2026-06-18 · Median 55 2026-06-19 · Median 55 2026-06-20 · Median 54 2026-06-21 · Median 56 2026-06-22 · Median 55 2026-06-23 · Median 55 2026-06-24 · Median 55 2026-06-25 · Median 54 2026-06-26 · Median 56 2026-06-28 · Median 54 2026-06-29 · Median 55 2026-06-30 · Median 55 2026-07-01 · Median 55 2026-07-03 · Median 57 2026-07-05 · Median 57 2026-07-07 · Median 57 2026-07-09 · Median 59 2026-07-11 · Median 60 2026-07-12 · Median 60 2026-07-14 · Median 60 2026-07-16 · Median 60 2026-07-21 · Median 60 2026-07-22 · Median 59 2026-07-23 · Median 59 2026-07-24 · Median 59 2026-07-25 · Median 59 2026-07-26 · Median 59 2026-07-27 · Median 59 2026-07-28 · Median 59 2026-07-29 · Median 58 2026-07-30 · Median 58 2026-07-31 · Median 58 2026-08-01 · Median 58 2026-08-03 · Median 58 2026-08-05 · Median 58 2026-08-07 · Median 57 2026-08-08 · Median 58 2026-08-09 · Median 58 2026-08-10 · Median 58 2026-08-11 · Median 57 2026-08-13 · Median 57 2026-08-14 · Median 58 2026-08-16 · Median 58 2026-08-17 · Median 58 2026-08-18 · Median 60 2026-08-19 · Median 60 2026-08-20 · Median 60 2026-08-22 · Median 60 2026-08-23 · Median 60.3 2026-08-25 · Median 60.3 2026-08-27 · Median 62 2026-08-28 · Median 62 2026-09-01 · Median 62 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 62 2026-09-06 · Median 62 2026-09-09 · Median 61 2026-09-14 · Median 61.2 2026-09-15 · Median 61 2026-09-16 · Median 61 2026-09-17 · Median 61 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 61 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 61

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2461
2026-09-2261
2026-09-2161
2026-09-1961
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2026-06-0658
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2026-06-0459

Metrics to follow

ISO 0.174

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.444

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 25.1%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G109
PA486
AVG.270
OBP.315
SLG.444
OPS.760
HR16
SB26
BB%4.9%
K%25.1%

Amarillo Sod Poodles · AA · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range-0.3%
566166
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 50

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 6
MLB / Model Watch65 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence94
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production32.9
Historical 80% error band16–50
MLB arrival in 3 years60%
Productive MLB role in 3 years6%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit45Fringe
Power icon
Power50Avg
Speed icon
Speed60Above Avg
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm50Avg
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Amarillo Sod PoodlesAA1094864487512120516712412226.270.315.444.760
2025Hillsboro HopsHigh-A10244740560123197565277322.304.342.422.764
2025ACL D-backsACL41616582102012.500.500.7501.250
20252 teams · TotalAll levels10646342165131218567277424.311.347.435.782
2024Visalia RawhideSingle-A1095234717312529107504010920.265.337.414.751
2023Visalia RawhideSingle-A361551441937534158357.257.310.417.726
2023ACL D-backs BlackACL25105911827713129159.297.381.495.875
2023ACL D-backs RedACL133000000010.000.000.000.000
20233 teams · TotalAll levels622632383764124727175116.269.335.441.776
2022DSL D-backs BlackDSL41513261004021.462.467.5381.005
2022DSL D-backs RedDSL4317816133546111412218.335.393.404.797
20222 teams · TotalAll levels4719317435607111812239.345.399.414.813

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Arizona Diamondbacks profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.