Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Jared Lyons

CIN · AAA · P

Cincinnati Reds · Age at assessment: 26 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Performance Signal Only
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Scouting comparison unavailable

Current performance can be evaluated, but a tool-to-results comparison requires verified scouting grades

Insufficient Evidence · 0%
PB Rank#2,668
Prospect Score43
Median41
Performance47
Trend0.0%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range0.0%
354148
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 47

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 41
57 42 27 2026-06-04 · Median 53 2026-06-05 · Median 48 2026-06-06 · Median 48 2026-06-07 · Median 48 2026-06-08 · Median 39 2026-06-09 · Median 39 2026-06-10 · Median 39 2026-06-11 · Median 48 2026-06-12 · Median 48 2026-06-13 · Median 48 2026-06-14 · Median 48 2026-06-15 · Median 48 2026-06-16 · Median 48 2026-06-17 · Median 48 2026-06-18 · Median 48 2026-06-19 · Median 48 2026-06-20 · Median 48 2026-06-21 · Median 48 2026-06-22 · Median 48 2026-06-23 · Median 48 2026-06-24 · Median 48 2026-06-25 · Median 48 2026-06-26 · Median 48 2026-06-28 · Median 39 2026-06-29 · Median 37 2026-06-30 · Median 37 2026-07-01 · Median 37 2026-07-03 · Median 38 2026-07-05 · Median 38 2026-07-07 · Median 38 2026-07-09 · Median 38 2026-07-11 · Median 38 2026-07-12 · Median 38 2026-07-14 · Median 38 2026-07-16 · Median 38 2026-07-21 · Median 38 2026-07-22 · Median 38 2026-07-23 · Median 38 2026-07-24 · Median 36 2026-07-25 · Median 36 2026-07-26 · Median 36 2026-07-27 · Median 36 2026-07-28 · Median 36 2026-07-29 · Median 34 2026-07-30 · Median 34 2026-07-31 · Median 34 2026-08-01 · Median 34 2026-08-03 · Median 34 2026-08-05 · Median 34 2026-08-07 · Median 34 2026-08-08 · Median 34 2026-08-09 · Median 33 2026-08-10 · Median 33 2026-08-11 · Median 33 2026-08-13 · Median 33 2026-08-14 · Median 31 2026-08-16 · Median 31 2026-08-17 · Median 31 2026-08-18 · Median 31 2026-08-19 · Median 31 2026-08-20 · Median 37 2026-08-22 · Median 37 2026-08-23 · Median 36.6 2026-08-25 · Median 36.6 2026-08-27 · Median 37 2026-08-28 · Median 37 2026-09-01 · Median 36 2026-09-02 · Median 36 2026-09-03 · Median 36 2026-09-05 · Median 36 2026-09-06 · Median 36 2026-09-09 · Median 46 2026-09-14 · Median 40.6 2026-09-15 · Median 41 2026-09-16 · Median 41 2026-09-17 · Median 41 2026-09-18 · Median 41 2026-09-19 · Median 41 2026-09-21 · Median 41 2026-09-22 · Median 41 2026-09-24 · Median 41 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 41

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2441
2026-09-2241
2026-09-2141
2026-09-1941
2026-09-1841
2026-09-1741
2026-09-1641
2026-09-1541
2026-09-1440.6
2026-09-0946
2026-09-0636
2026-09-0536
2026-09-0336
2026-09-0236
2026-09-0136
2026-08-2837
2026-08-2737
2026-08-2536.6
2026-08-2336.6
2026-08-2237
2026-08-2037
2026-08-1931
2026-08-1831
2026-08-1731
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2026-07-3134
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2026-07-2138
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2026-06-2648
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2026-06-2248
2026-06-2148
2026-06-2048
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2026-06-1039
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2026-06-0748
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2026-06-0453

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G29
IP95.2
ERA4.14
WHIP1.35
K/97.7
BB/93.6
K-BB%10.8%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
354148
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 47

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 19
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence62
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production39.8
Historical 80% error band17–63
MLB arrival in 3 years22%
Productive MLB role in 3 years2%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels000.001002.24000031.5010.13
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels203.2760011.0134415111.649.00
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Louisville BatsAAA354.64155042.2462522628321.736.75
2026Chattanooga LookoutsAA433.74146053.0452722710501.048.49
20262 teams · TotalAll levels784.142911095.29152441338821.357.71
2025Louisville BatsAAA104.662209.27653671.346.52
2025Chattanooga LookoutsAA553.622113077.0673431326731.218.53
20252 teams · TotalAll levels653.742315086.2744036632801.228.31
2024Dayton DragonsHigh-A312.8288038.1281312520461.2510.80
2023Daytona TortugasSingle-A353.691411053.2523022431651.5510.90
2023ACL RedsACL0010.133205.17660672.4411.81
20232 teams · TotalAll levels354.271713059.0593628437721.6310.98
2022ACL RedsACL000.002202.01000040.5018.00

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

More Cincinnati Reds profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.