Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Jared Thomas

COL · AA · CF

Colorado Rockies · Age at assessment: 23.2 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#592
Prospect Score61.3
Median60
Performance Signal-7.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
536066
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 57 Latest recorded 60
69 61 53 2026-08-14 · Median 57 2026-08-16 · Median 57 2026-08-17 · Median 57 2026-08-18 · Median 57 2026-08-19 · Median 57 2026-08-20 · Median 65 2026-08-22 · Median 65 2026-08-23 · Median 64.9 2026-08-25 · Median 64.5 2026-08-27 · Median 64 2026-08-28 · Median 64 2026-09-01 · Median 64 2026-09-02 · Median 64 2026-09-03 · Median 64 2026-09-05 · Median 64 2026-09-06 · Median 64 2026-09-09 · Median 59 2026-09-14 · Median 59.6 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 60 2026-09-24 · Median 60 2026-09-25 · Median 60 2026-09-29 · Median 60 2026-09-30 · Median 60 2026-10-03 · Median 60 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 60

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0360
2026-09-3060
2026-09-2960
2026-09-2560
2026-09-2460
2026-09-2260
2026-09-2160
2026-09-1960
2026-09-1860
2026-09-1760
2026-09-1660
2026-09-1560
2026-09-1459.6
2026-09-0959
2026-09-0664
2026-09-0564
2026-09-0364
2026-09-0264
2026-09-0164
2026-08-2864
2026-08-2764
2026-08-2564.5
2026-08-2364.9
2026-08-2265
2026-08-2065
2026-08-1957
2026-08-1857
2026-08-1757
2026-08-1657
2026-08-1457

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 87
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
536066
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence87
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection31.5
Projected range14–49
Arrival probability8%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.