Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jareth Rayo

ATH · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

Rank#4,362
Score31.6
Baseline34
Signal-10.7
Trend0.0
Floor24
Baseline34
Ceiling44
Confidence50 Risk52 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jareth Rayo

ATH · DSL · P

Athletics · Age at assessment: 18.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

PB Rank#4,362
Prospect Score31.6
Median34
Performance Signal-10.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
243444
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -10.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 34 Latest recorded 34
39 34.5 30 2026-08-16 · Median 34 2026-08-17 · Median 34 2026-08-18 · Median 34 2026-08-19 · Median 34 2026-08-20 · Median 34 2026-08-22 · Median 34 2026-08-23 · Median 34.3 2026-08-25 · Median 34.3 2026-08-27 · Median 34 2026-08-28 · Median 34 2026-09-01 · Median 34 2026-09-02 · Median 34 2026-09-03 · Median 34 2026-09-05 · Median 34 2026-09-06 · Median 34 2026-09-09 · Median 34 2026-09-14 · Median 34.4 2026-09-15 · Median 34 2026-09-16 · Median 34 2026-09-17 · Median 34 2026-09-18 · Median 34 2026-09-19 · Median 34 2026-09-21 · Median 34 2026-09-22 · Median 34 2026-09-24 · Median 34 2026-09-25 · Median 34 2026-09-29 · Median 34 2026-09-30 · Median 34 2026-10-03 · Median 34 2026-10-04 · Median 34 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 34

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0434
2026-10-0334
2026-09-3034
2026-09-2934
2026-09-2534
2026-09-2434
2026-09-2234
2026-09-2134
2026-09-1934
2026-09-1834
2026-09-1734
2026-09-1634
2026-09-1534
2026-09-1434.4
2026-09-0934
2026-09-0634
2026-09-0534
2026-09-0334
2026-09-0234
2026-09-0134
2026-08-2834
2026-08-2734
2026-08-2534.3
2026-08-2334.3
2026-08-2234
2026-08-2034
2026-08-1934
2026-08-1834
2026-08-1734
2026-08-1634

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 50
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 52
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
243444
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -10.7

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 52
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence50
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection44.6
Projected range20–70
Arrival probability1%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.