Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Jarlin Susana

WSH · AAA · P

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 22.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Pitch quality translating

Current bat-missing results are broadly aligned with the verified pitch-quality expectation

Medium Confidence · 68%
PB Rank#60
Prospect Score77
Median78
Performance70
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Best pitch grade 70; dominance evidence sits near the 99th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • K/9 is 16.4

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+15.7 percentile gap
Expected 83 Observed 99
Command+7.6 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 41

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 63 Latest recorded 78
86 72.5 59 2026-08-20 · Median 63 2026-08-22 · Median 65 2026-08-23 · Median 65.1 2026-08-25 · Median 65.1 2026-08-27 · Median 70 2026-08-28 · Median 70 2026-09-01 · Median 72 2026-09-02 · Median 72 2026-09-03 · Median 72 2026-09-05 · Median 72 2026-09-06 · Median 72 2026-09-09 · Median 68 2026-09-14 · Median 71.3 2026-09-15 · Median 82 2026-09-16 · Median 82 2026-09-17 · Median 82 2026-09-18 · Median 82 2026-09-19 · Median 78 2026-09-21 · Median 78 2026-09-22 · Median 78 2026-09-24 · Median 78 2026-08-20 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 78

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2478
2026-09-2278
2026-09-2178
2026-09-1978
2026-09-1882
2026-09-1782
2026-09-1682
2026-09-1582
2026-09-1471.3
2026-09-0968
2026-09-0672
2026-09-0572
2026-09-0372
2026-09-0272
2026-09-0172
2026-08-2870
2026-08-2770
2026-08-2565.1
2026-08-2365.1
2026-08-2265
2026-08-2063

Metrics to follow

K/9 16.4

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 27.7%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 4.9

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G8
IP20.1
ERA6.20
WHIP1.43
K/916.4
BB/94.9
K-BB%27.7%

3 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
707886
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 70

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 18
MLB / Model WatchMLB #67 MLB Top 100
Confidence80
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production48.7
Historical 80% error band24–73
MLB arrival in 3 years14%
Productive MLB role in 3 years3%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball70Plus-Plus
Slider icon
Slider70Plus-Plus
Changeup icon
Changeup50Avg
Command icon
Control40Developmental
Overall icon
Overall55Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Slider-Driven

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels0113.501102.24440433.0010.13
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels026.4355014.014111018241.5715.43
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Rochester Red WingsAAA0113.501102.24440433.0010.13
2026Harrisburg SenatorsAA014.7644011.1107614211.2416.68
2026Wilmington Blue RocksHigh-A015.683306.144403131.1118.47
20263 teams · TotalAll levels036.2088020.1181514111371.4316.38
2025Harrisburg SenatorsAA123.611111047.1342019332791.3915.02
2025Wilmington Blue RocksHigh-A023.003309.063302160.8916.00
20252 teams · TotalAll levels143.511414056.1402322334951.3115.18
2024Wilmington Blue RocksHigh-A334.181010047.1412422218741.2514.07
2024Fredericksburg NationalsSingle-A174.471414056.1473028030831.3713.26
20242 teams · TotalAll levels4104.3424240103.28854502481571.3113.63
2023Fredericksburg NationalsSingle-A165.141717063.0564236340621.528.86
2022Fredericksburg NationalsSingle-A002.6133010.193315131.3511.32
2022ACL PadresACL002.4587029.11588111440.8913.50
2022FCL NationalsFCL001.692205.14110491.5015.19
20223 teams · TotalAll levels002.401312045.0281212220661.0713.20

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

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Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.