Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jaron DeBerry

MIL · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#690
Score59.9
Baseline56
Signal0.0
Trend0.0
Floor52
Baseline56
Ceiling60
Confidence91 Risk0 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jaron DeBerry

MIL · AA · P

Milwaukee Brewers · Age at assessment: 24.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#690
Prospect Score59.9
Median56
Performance Signal0.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
525660
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 51 Latest recorded 56
61 54 47 2026-08-16 · Median 51 2026-08-17 · Median 51 2026-08-18 · Median 51 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 51 2026-08-23 · Median 51.5 2026-08-25 · Median 51.5 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 56.1 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-10-04 · Median 56 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0456
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1456.1
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0256
2026-09-0156
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2551.5
2026-08-2351.5
2026-08-2251
2026-08-2051
2026-08-1951
2026-08-1851
2026-08-1751
2026-08-1651

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 91
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
525660
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence91
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection43.7
Projected range21–66
Arrival probability34%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.