Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jarvis Gomez

SEA · DSL · OF · Age 18

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score62.1#539 Overall
Baseline60Most likely outcome
Performance67Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor52Lower-end outcome
Baseline60Most likely outcome
Ceiling68High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
67Solid current performance
Offensive impact1.013 OPSStrong overall offensive impact
Contact13.2% KStrong contact signal
On-base foundation.467 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid57How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh24Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection50.3
Projected Range32–69
Arrival Probability28%
Productive Role Probability10%
Player Background
OrganizationSeattle Mariners
LevelDSL
PositionOF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 60 Latest recorded 60
64 60 56 2026-09-02 · Median 60 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 60 2026-09-06 · Median 60 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 60 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 60 2026-09-19 · Median 60 2026-09-21 · Median 60 2026-09-22 · Median 60 2026-09-24 · Median 60 2026-09-25 · Median 60 2026-09-29 · Median 60 2026-09-30 · Median 60 2026-10-03 · Median 60 2026-10-04 · Median 60 2026-10-05 · Median 60 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 60

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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