Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Jason Gilman

BOS · High-A · P

Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 23.4 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,365
Prospect Score52.5
Median51
Performance Signal+7.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
435159
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 42 Latest recorded 51
55 46.5 38 2026-08-14 · Median 42 2026-08-16 · Median 42 2026-08-17 · Median 42 2026-08-18 · Median 42 2026-08-19 · Median 42 2026-08-20 · Median 50 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 46.4 2026-08-25 · Median 46.4 2026-08-27 · Median 51 2026-08-28 · Median 51 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 50.8 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1450.8
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2851
2026-08-2751
2026-08-2546.4
2026-08-2346.4
2026-08-2250
2026-08-2050
2026-08-1942
2026-08-1842
2026-08-1742
2026-08-1642
2026-08-1442

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
435159
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection51.9
Projected range27–77
Arrival probability28%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.