Player Profile
Jay Allen II
CIN · AAA · CF · Age 24
Bats R · Throws RProspect Score64.6#408 Overall
Baseline59Most likely outcome
Performance53Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor55Lower-end outcome
Baseline59Most likely outcome
Ceiling64High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.
Performance
Selected evidence53Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.802 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact23.9% KNear expected range
On-base foundation.364 OBPStrong on-base foundation
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleSource: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-02
Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh93How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection35.4
Projected Range18–53
Arrival Probability66%
Productive Role Probability8%
Player Background
OrganizationCincinnati Reds
LevelAAA
PositionCF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 53
Latest recorded 59
2026-10-05 · Median 59
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 59 |
| 2026-10-04 | 59 |
| 2026-10-03 | 59 |
| 2026-09-30 | 59 |
| 2026-09-29 | 59 |
| 2026-09-25 | 60 |
| 2026-09-24 | 60 |
| 2026-09-22 | 58 |
| 2026-09-21 | 58 |
| 2026-09-19 | 58 |
| 2026-09-18 | 58 |
| 2026-09-17 | 58 |
| 2026-09-16 | 58 |
| 2026-09-15 | 58 |
| 2026-09-14 | 59.3 |
| 2026-09-09 | 59 |
| 2026-09-06 | 54 |
| 2026-09-05 | 54 |
| 2026-09-03 | 53 |
| 2026-09-02 | 53 |