Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jay Driver

CLE · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,980
Score47.7
Baseline46
Signal-13.5
Trend0.0
Floor39
Baseline46
Ceiling53
Confidence61 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jay Driver

CLE · AA · P

Cleveland Guardians · Age at assessment: 24.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,980
Prospect Score47.7
Median46
Performance Signal-13.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
394653
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -13.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 46
54 48 42 2026-08-16 · Median 50 2026-08-17 · Median 50 2026-08-18 · Median 50 2026-08-19 · Median 50 2026-08-20 · Median 50 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 49.6 2026-08-25 · Median 49.6 2026-08-27 · Median 50 2026-08-28 · Median 50 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 46.3 2026-09-15 · Median 46 2026-09-16 · Median 46 2026-09-17 · Median 46 2026-09-18 · Median 46 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 46 2026-09-25 · Median 46 2026-09-29 · Median 46 2026-09-30 · Median 46 2026-10-03 · Median 46 2026-10-04 · Median 46 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 46

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0446
2026-10-0346
2026-09-3046
2026-09-2946
2026-09-2546
2026-09-2446
2026-09-2246
2026-09-2146
2026-09-1946
2026-09-1846
2026-09-1746
2026-09-1646
2026-09-1546
2026-09-1446.3
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2850
2026-08-2750
2026-08-2549.6
2026-08-2349.6
2026-08-2250
2026-08-2050
2026-08-1950
2026-08-1850
2026-08-1750
2026-08-1650

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
394653
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -13.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.5
Projected range15–64
Arrival probability26%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.