Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Jay Harry

TOR · AAA · 2B

Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 24.2 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact results ahead of the tool grade

Current contact and on-base results are outperforming the verified hit-tool expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#440
Prospect Score64
Median58
Performance53
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 45; contact evidence sits near the 70th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 19.6%

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+28.8 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 71
Game Power+27.1 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 77

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 57 Latest recorded 58
74 60 46 2026-06-04 · Median 57 2026-06-05 · Median 56 2026-06-06 · Median 56 2026-06-07 · Median 55 2026-06-08 · Median 55 2026-06-09 · Median 55 2026-06-10 · Median 56 2026-06-11 · Median 56 2026-06-12 · Median 56 2026-06-13 · Median 56 2026-06-14 · Median 53 2026-06-15 · Median 55 2026-06-16 · Median 55 2026-06-17 · Median 50 2026-06-18 · Median 50 2026-06-19 · Median 50 2026-06-20 · Median 57 2026-06-21 · Median 56 2026-06-22 · Median 55 2026-06-23 · Median 55 2026-06-24 · Median 58 2026-06-25 · Median 66 2026-06-26 · Median 66 2026-06-28 · Median 66 2026-06-29 · Median 66 2026-06-30 · Median 66 2026-07-01 · Median 66 2026-07-03 · Median 66 2026-07-05 · Median 66 2026-07-07 · Median 66 2026-07-09 · Median 68 2026-07-11 · Median 70 2026-07-12 · Median 68 2026-07-14 · Median 67 2026-07-16 · Median 67 2026-07-21 · Median 65 2026-07-22 · Median 65 2026-07-23 · Median 65 2026-07-24 · Median 63 2026-08-20 · Median 65 2026-08-22 · Median 64 2026-08-23 · Median 64.5 2026-08-25 · Median 64.5 2026-08-27 · Median 63 2026-08-28 · Median 62 2026-09-01 · Median 62 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 61 2026-09-06 · Median 61 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 59.5 2026-09-15 · Median 59 2026-09-16 · Median 59 2026-09-17 · Median 59 2026-09-18 · Median 59 2026-09-19 · Median 59 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1959
2026-09-1859
2026-09-1759
2026-09-1659
2026-09-1559
2026-09-1459.5
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0661
2026-09-0561
2026-09-0362
2026-09-0262
2026-09-0162
2026-08-2862
2026-08-2763
2026-08-2564.5
2026-08-2364.5
2026-08-2264
2026-08-2065
2026-07-2463
2026-07-2365
2026-07-2265
2026-07-2165
2026-07-1667
2026-07-1467
2026-07-1268
2026-07-1170
2026-07-0968
2026-07-0766
2026-07-0566
2026-07-0366
2026-07-0166
2026-06-3066
2026-06-2966
2026-06-2866
2026-06-2666
2026-06-2566
2026-06-2458
2026-06-2355
2026-06-2255
2026-06-2156
2026-06-2057
2026-06-1950
2026-06-1850
2026-06-1750
2026-06-1655
2026-06-1555
2026-06-1453
2026-06-1356
2026-06-1256
2026-06-1156
2026-06-1056
2026-06-0955
2026-06-0855
2026-06-0755
2026-06-0656
2026-06-0556
2026-06-0457

Metrics to follow

K% 19.6%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 4.7%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.343

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G105
PA429
AVG.298
OBP.343
SLG.495
OPS.838
HR14
SB1
BB%4.7%
K%19.6%

3 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
545863
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 53

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence93
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production35.3
Historical 80% error band18–53
MLB arrival in 3 years64%
Productive MLB role in 3 years9%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit45Fringe
Power icon
Power50Avg
Speed icon
Speed45Fringe
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm50Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels31514221002150.143.200.214.414
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels20857781530165170.195.259.273.532
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Buffalo BisonsAAA54242220316117063613420.277.335.436.771
2026New Hampshire Fisher CatsAA4817916929551148397421.325.354.580.934
2026Dunedin Blue JaysSingle-A387120001000.286.375.286.661
20263 teams · TotalAll levels10542939661118284147620841.298.343.495.838
2025New Hampshire Fisher CatsAA441411241419302915334.153.255.226.481
2025Vancouver CanadiansHigh-A5622520224469132221425.228.302.327.629
20252 teams · TotalAll levels100366326386512153136759.199.284.288.572
2024Cedar Rapids KernelsHigh-A82340295366314183930655.214.306.349.655
2024Vancouver CanadiansHigh-A27108100921904146320.210.259.420.679
20242 teams · TotalAll levels1094483954584231125336975.213.295.367.662
2023Fort Myers Mighty MusselsSingle-A27117101223481191184.337.419.465.884
2023FCL TwinsFCL3128131001303.375.583.5001.083
20232 teams · TotalAll levels301291092337911101487.339.434.468.902

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More Toronto Blue Jays profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.