Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jaycob Deese

PIT · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#4,928
Score27.7
Baseline29
Signal-35.7
Trend0.0
Floor22
Baseline29
Ceiling36
Confidence60 Risk30 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jaycob Deese

PIT · AA · P

Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 26.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#4,928
Prospect Score27.7
Median29
Performance Signal-35.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
222936
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -35.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 29
34 29 24 2026-08-16 · Median 28 2026-08-17 · Median 28 2026-08-18 · Median 28 2026-08-19 · Median 28 2026-08-20 · Median 29 2026-08-22 · Median 29 2026-08-23 · Median 29.6 2026-08-25 · Median 29.6 2026-08-27 · Median 30 2026-08-28 · Median 30 2026-09-01 · Median 29 2026-09-02 · Median 29 2026-09-03 · Median 29 2026-09-05 · Median 29 2026-09-06 · Median 29 2026-09-09 · Median 29 2026-09-14 · Median 29.3 2026-09-15 · Median 29 2026-09-16 · Median 29 2026-09-17 · Median 29 2026-09-18 · Median 29 2026-09-19 · Median 29 2026-09-21 · Median 29 2026-09-22 · Median 29 2026-09-24 · Median 29 2026-09-25 · Median 29 2026-09-29 · Median 29 2026-09-30 · Median 29 2026-10-03 · Median 29 2026-10-04 · Median 29 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 29

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0429
2026-10-0329
2026-09-3029
2026-09-2929
2026-09-2529
2026-09-2429
2026-09-2229
2026-09-2129
2026-09-1929
2026-09-1829
2026-09-1729
2026-09-1629
2026-09-1529
2026-09-1429.3
2026-09-0929
2026-09-0629
2026-09-0529
2026-09-0329
2026-09-0229
2026-09-0129
2026-08-2830
2026-08-2730
2026-08-2529.6
2026-08-2329.6
2026-08-2229
2026-08-2029
2026-08-1928
2026-08-1828
2026-08-1728
2026-08-1628

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 30
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
222936
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -35.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 30
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection37.9
Projected range13–63
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.