Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

JB Middleton

COL · Single-A · P IL(Full Season)

Colorado Rockies · Age at assessment: 22.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

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The verified pitch-quality expectation is running ahead of current bat-missing results

Medium Confidence · 68%
PB Rank#3,330
Prospect Score39
Median46
Performance35
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Best pitch grade 60; dominance evidence sits near the 22th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • K/9 is 8.1

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff-45.0 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 22
Command-15.5 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 35

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 46
50 39 28 2026-06-08 · Median 33 2026-06-09 · Median 33 2026-06-10 · Median 33 2026-06-11 · Median 33 2026-06-12 · Median 33 2026-06-13 · Median 33 2026-06-14 · Median 33 2026-06-15 · Median 33 2026-06-16 · Median 33 2026-06-17 · Median 33 2026-06-18 · Median 33 2026-06-19 · Median 33 2026-06-20 · Median 33 2026-06-21 · Median 33 2026-06-22 · Median 33 2026-06-23 · Median 33 2026-06-24 · Median 33 2026-06-25 · Median 33 2026-06-26 · Median 33 2026-06-28 · Median 33 2026-06-29 · Median 33 2026-06-30 · Median 33 2026-07-01 · Median 33 2026-07-03 · Median 34 2026-07-05 · Median 34 2026-07-07 · Median 34 2026-07-09 · Median 34 2026-07-11 · Median 34 2026-07-12 · Median 34 2026-07-14 · Median 34 2026-07-16 · Median 34 2026-07-21 · Median 34 2026-07-22 · Median 34 2026-07-23 · Median 34 2026-07-24 · Median 32 2026-07-25 · Median 32 2026-07-26 · Median 32 2026-07-27 · Median 32 2026-07-28 · Median 32 2026-07-29 · Median 32 2026-07-30 · Median 32 2026-07-31 · Median 32 2026-08-01 · Median 32 2026-08-03 · Median 32 2026-08-05 · Median 32 2026-08-07 · Median 37 2026-08-08 · Median 37 2026-08-09 · Median 37 2026-08-10 · Median 37 2026-08-11 · Median 37 2026-08-13 · Median 37 2026-08-14 · Median 37 2026-08-16 · Median 37 2026-08-17 · Median 37 2026-08-18 · Median 37 2026-08-19 · Median 37 2026-08-20 · Median 37 2026-08-22 · Median 37 2026-08-23 · Median 37.2 2026-08-25 · Median 36.9 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 46 2026-09-05 · Median 46 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 46 2026-09-14 · Median 45.6 2026-09-15 · Median 46 2026-09-16 · Median 46 2026-09-17 · Median 46 2026-09-18 · Median 46 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 46 2026-06-08 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 46

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2446
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Metrics to follow

K/9 8.1

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 5.4%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 5.9

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G5
IP20.0
ERA4.95
WHIP1.70
K/98.1
BB/95.9
K-BB%5.4%

Fresno Grizzlies · Single-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
354655
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 35

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 62
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence73
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production41.1
Historical 80% error band16–66
MLB arrival in 3 years0%
Productive MLB role in 3 years0%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball55Avg
Slider icon
Slider60Above Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup55Avg
Command icon
Control50Avg
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Slider-Driven

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Fresno GrizzliesSingle-A004.9555020.0211111313181.708.10

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Colorado Rockies profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.