Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jeral Perez

CWS · High-A · 3B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#915
Score57.1
Baseline50
Signal+4.4
Trend0.0
Floor46
Baseline50
Ceiling55
Confidence91 Risk0 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jeral Perez

CWS · High-A · 3B

Chicago White Sox · Age at assessment: 21.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#915
Prospect Score57.1
Median50
Performance Signal+4.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
465055
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 43 Latest recorded 50
55 47 39 2026-08-16 · Median 43 2026-08-17 · Median 43 2026-08-18 · Median 43 2026-08-19 · Median 43 2026-08-20 · Median 43 2026-08-22 · Median 43 2026-08-23 · Median 43.5 2026-08-25 · Median 43.5 2026-08-27 · Median 43 2026-08-28 · Median 43 2026-09-01 · Median 43 2026-09-02 · Median 43 2026-09-03 · Median 43 2026-09-05 · Median 43 2026-09-06 · Median 43 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 50.6 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 50 2026-09-30 · Median 50 2026-10-03 · Median 50 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0350
2026-09-3050
2026-09-2950
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1450.6
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0643
2026-09-0543
2026-09-0343
2026-09-0243
2026-09-0143
2026-08-2843
2026-08-2743
2026-08-2543.5
2026-08-2343.5
2026-08-2243
2026-08-2043
2026-08-1943
2026-08-1843
2026-08-1743
2026-08-1643

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 91
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
465055
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence91
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.7
Projected range22–57
Arrival probability53%
Productive role probability7%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.