Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Jerlin Madera

KC · DSL · P

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 19.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down

PB Rank#6,088
Prospect Score19
Median27
Performance29
Trend0.0%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range0.0%
202738
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 29

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 30 Latest recorded 27
35 29 23 2026-06-04 · Median 30 2026-06-05 · Median 30 2026-06-06 · Median 30 2026-06-07 · Median 30 2026-06-08 · Median 30 2026-06-09 · Median 30 2026-06-10 · Median 30 2026-06-11 · Median 29 2026-06-12 · Median 28 2026-06-13 · Median 28 2026-06-14 · Median 28 2026-06-15 · Median 28 2026-06-16 · Median 28 2026-06-17 · Median 28 2026-06-18 · Median 28 2026-06-19 · Median 28 2026-06-20 · Median 28 2026-06-21 · Median 28 2026-06-22 · Median 28 2026-06-23 · Median 28 2026-06-24 · Median 28 2026-06-25 · Median 28 2026-06-26 · Median 28 2026-06-28 · Median 28 2026-06-29 · Median 28 2026-06-30 · Median 28 2026-07-01 · Median 28 2026-07-03 · Median 29 2026-07-05 · Median 29 2026-07-07 · Median 29 2026-07-09 · Median 29 2026-07-11 · Median 29 2026-07-12 · Median 29 2026-07-14 · Median 29 2026-07-16 · Median 29 2026-07-21 · Median 30 2026-07-22 · Median 30 2026-07-23 · Median 31 2026-07-24 · Median 30 2026-07-25 · Median 30 2026-07-26 · Median 30 2026-07-27 · Median 30 2026-07-28 · Median 30 2026-07-29 · Median 28 2026-07-30 · Median 28 2026-07-31 · Median 28 2026-08-01 · Median 28 2026-08-03 · Median 28 2026-08-05 · Median 28 2026-08-07 · Median 28 2026-08-08 · Median 28 2026-08-09 · Median 28 2026-08-10 · Median 28 2026-08-11 · Median 28 2026-08-13 · Median 28 2026-08-14 · Median 28 2026-08-16 · Median 27 2026-08-17 · Median 27 2026-08-18 · Median 27 2026-08-19 · Median 27 2026-08-20 · Median 27 2026-08-22 · Median 27 2026-08-23 · Median 27.4 2026-08-25 · Median 27.1 2026-08-27 · Median 27.1 2026-08-28 · Median 27.1 2026-09-01 · Median 27.1 2026-09-02 · Median 27.1 2026-09-03 · Median 27.1 2026-09-05 · Median 27.1 2026-09-06 · Median 27.1 2026-09-09 · Median 27 2026-09-14 · Median 27 2026-09-15 · Median 27 2026-09-16 · Median 27 2026-09-17 · Median 27 2026-09-18 · Median 27 2026-09-19 · Median 27 2026-09-21 · Median 27 2026-09-22 · Median 27 2026-09-24 · Median 27 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 27

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2427
2026-09-2227
2026-09-2127
2026-09-1927
2026-09-1827
2026-09-1727
2026-09-1627
2026-09-1527
2026-09-1427
2026-09-0927
2026-09-0627.1
2026-09-0527.1
2026-09-0327.1
2026-09-0227.1
2026-09-0127.1
2026-08-2827.1
2026-08-2727.1
2026-08-2527.1
2026-08-2327.4
2026-08-2227
2026-08-2027
2026-08-1927
2026-08-1827
2026-08-1727
2026-08-1627
2026-08-1428
2026-08-1328
2026-08-1128
2026-08-1028
2026-08-0928
2026-08-0828
2026-08-0728
2026-08-0528
2026-08-0328
2026-08-0128
2026-07-3128
2026-07-3028
2026-07-2928
2026-07-2830
2026-07-2730
2026-07-2630
2026-07-2530
2026-07-2430
2026-07-2331
2026-07-2230
2026-07-2130
2026-07-1629
2026-07-1429
2026-07-1229
2026-07-1129
2026-07-0929
2026-07-0729
2026-07-0529
2026-07-0329
2026-07-0128
2026-06-3028
2026-06-2928
2026-06-2828
2026-06-2628
2026-06-2528
2026-06-2428
2026-06-2328
2026-06-2228
2026-06-2128
2026-06-2028
2026-06-1928
2026-06-1828
2026-06-1728
2026-06-1628
2026-06-1528
2026-06-1428
2026-06-1328
2026-06-1228
2026-06-1129
2026-06-1030
2026-06-0930
2026-06-0830
2026-06-0730
2026-06-0630
2026-06-0530
2026-06-0430

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G11
IP20.2
ERA5.23
WHIP1.84
K/97.8
BB/97.0
K-BB%2.1%

DSL Royals Ventura · DSL · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
202738
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 29

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 85
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence40
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production41.3
Historical 80% error band17–66
MLB arrival in 3 years0%
Productive MLB role in 3 years0%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026DSL Royals VenturaDSL305.23110120.2221412116181.847.84

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

More Kansas City Royals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.