Player profile
Jesmaylin Arias
San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 19.4 · Bats: L · Throws: L
Projection updated: October 3, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.
PB Rank#648
Prospect Score60.5
Median59
Performance Signal+10.7
Trend0.0
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range0.0
525966
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +10.7
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 54
Latest recorded 59
2026-10-03 · Median 59
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 59 |
| 2026-09-30 | 59 |
| 2026-09-29 | 59 |
| 2026-09-25 | 59 |
| 2026-09-24 | 59 |
| 2026-09-22 | 59 |
| 2026-09-21 | 59 |
| 2026-09-19 | 59 |
| 2026-09-18 | 59 |
| 2026-09-17 | 59 |
| 2026-09-16 | 59 |
| 2026-09-15 | 59 |
| 2026-09-14 | 58.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | 58 |
| 2026-09-06 | 66 |
| 2026-09-05 | 66 |
| 2026-09-03 | 66 |
| 2026-09-02 | 66 |
| 2026-09-01 | 66 |
| 2026-08-28 | 66 |
| 2026-08-27 | 66 |
| 2026-08-25 | 66.5 |
| 2026-08-23 | 66.5 |
| 2026-08-22 | 67 |
| 2026-08-20 | 67 |
| 2026-08-19 | 54 |
| 2026-08-18 | 54 |
| 2026-08-17 | 54 |
| 2026-08-16 | 54 |
| 2026-08-14 | 54 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Stable
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
58
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
3
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.