Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Jesús García

STL · Single-A · P

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 20.7 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#858
Prospect Score57.8
Median53
Performance Signal+12.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
475360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +12.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 51 Latest recorded 53
58 52.5 47 2026-08-14 · Median 51 2026-08-16 · Median 51 2026-08-17 · Median 51 2026-08-18 · Median 51 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 51 2026-08-23 · Median 51.5 2026-08-25 · Median 51.5 2026-08-27 · Median 51 2026-08-28 · Median 51 2026-09-01 · Median 51 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 53.7 2026-09-15 · Median 54 2026-09-16 · Median 54 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 54 2026-09-19 · Median 54 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
2026-09-1954
2026-09-1854
2026-09-1754
2026-09-1654
2026-09-1554
2026-09-1453.7
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0251
2026-09-0151
2026-08-2851
2026-08-2751
2026-08-2551.5
2026-08-2351.5
2026-08-2251
2026-08-2051
2026-08-1951
2026-08-1851
2026-08-1751
2026-08-1651
2026-08-1451

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
475360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +12.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.5
Projected range23–72
Arrival probability4%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.