Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jesus Garcia

KC · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#6,189
Score16.4
Baseline27
Signal-6.0
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline27
Ceiling39
Confidence35 Risk96 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Jesus Garcia

KC · DSL · P

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 18.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#6,189
Prospect Score16.4
Median27
Performance Signal-6.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202739
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 27
32 27.5 23 2026-08-16 · Median 28 2026-08-17 · Median 28 2026-08-18 · Median 28 2026-08-19 · Median 28 2026-08-20 · Median 28 2026-08-22 · Median 28 2026-08-23 · Median 27.9 2026-08-25 · Median 27.9 2026-08-27 · Median 27.9 2026-08-28 · Median 27.9 2026-09-01 · Median 27.9 2026-09-02 · Median 27.9 2026-09-03 · Median 27.9 2026-09-05 · Median 27.9 2026-09-06 · Median 27.9 2026-09-09 · Median 27.7 2026-09-14 · Median 27.7 2026-09-15 · Median 27.7 2026-09-16 · Median 28 2026-09-17 · Median 28 2026-09-18 · Median 28 2026-09-19 · Median 28 2026-09-21 · Median 27 2026-09-22 · Median 27 2026-09-24 · Median 27 2026-09-25 · Median 27 2026-09-29 · Median 27 2026-09-30 · Median 27 2026-10-03 · Median 27 2026-10-04 · Median 27 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 27

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0427
2026-10-0327
2026-09-3027
2026-09-2927
2026-09-2527
2026-09-2427
2026-09-2227
2026-09-2127
2026-09-1928
2026-09-1828
2026-09-1728
2026-09-1628
2026-09-1527.7
2026-09-1427.7
2026-09-0927.7
2026-09-0627.9
2026-09-0527.9
2026-09-0327.9
2026-09-0227.9
2026-09-0127.9
2026-08-2827.9
2026-08-2727.9
2026-08-2527.9
2026-08-2327.9
2026-08-2228
2026-08-2028
2026-08-1928
2026-08-1828
2026-08-1728
2026-08-1628

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 35
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 96
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202739
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.0

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 96
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence35
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.