Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jesus Lopez

SF · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

Rank#5,198
Score26.1
Baseline28
Signal-17.1
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline28
Ceiling38
Confidence49 Risk42 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jesus Lopez

SF · DSL · P

San Francisco Giants · Age at assessment: 21.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

PB Rank#5,198
Prospect Score26.1
Median28
Performance Signal-17.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202838
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -17.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 28
33 28.5 24 2026-08-16 · Median 28 2026-08-17 · Median 28 2026-08-18 · Median 28 2026-08-19 · Median 28 2026-08-20 · Median 28 2026-08-22 · Median 28 2026-08-23 · Median 28.1 2026-08-25 · Median 28.1 2026-08-27 · Median 28 2026-08-28 · Median 28 2026-09-01 · Median 28 2026-09-02 · Median 28 2026-09-03 · Median 28 2026-09-05 · Median 28 2026-09-06 · Median 28 2026-09-09 · Median 28 2026-09-14 · Median 28.2 2026-09-15 · Median 28 2026-09-16 · Median 28 2026-09-17 · Median 28 2026-09-18 · Median 28 2026-09-19 · Median 28 2026-09-21 · Median 28 2026-09-22 · Median 28 2026-09-24 · Median 28 2026-09-25 · Median 28 2026-09-29 · Median 28 2026-09-30 · Median 28 2026-10-03 · Median 28 2026-10-04 · Median 28 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 28

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0428
2026-10-0328
2026-09-3028
2026-09-2928
2026-09-2528
2026-09-2428
2026-09-2228
2026-09-2128
2026-09-1928
2026-09-1828
2026-09-1728
2026-09-1628
2026-09-1528
2026-09-1428.2
2026-09-0928
2026-09-0628
2026-09-0528
2026-09-0328
2026-09-0228
2026-09-0128
2026-08-2828
2026-08-2728
2026-08-2528.1
2026-08-2328.1
2026-08-2228
2026-08-2028
2026-08-1928
2026-08-1828
2026-08-1728
2026-08-1628

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 49
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 42
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202838
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -17.1

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 42
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence49
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection40.7
Projected range16–66
Arrival probability1%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.