Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jesus Minaya

NYM · DSL · SS

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

Rank#1,734
Score49.6
Baseline47
Signal+11.2
Trend0.0
Floor38
Baseline47
Ceiling57
Confidence48 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jesus Minaya

NYM · DSL · SS

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 17.6 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

PB Rank#1,734
Prospect Score49.6
Median47
Performance Signal+11.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
384757
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +11.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 47
52 46.5 41 2026-08-16 · Median 47 2026-08-17 · Median 47 2026-08-18 · Median 48 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 45 2026-08-22 · Median 45 2026-08-23 · Median 47.6 2026-08-25 · Median 47.6 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 47.7 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-10-04 · Median 47 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0447
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
2026-09-2947
2026-09-2547
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1447.7
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748
2026-08-2547.6
2026-08-2347.6
2026-08-2245
2026-08-2045
2026-08-1945
2026-08-1848
2026-08-1747
2026-08-1647

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 48
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
384757
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +11.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence48
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection42.6
Projected range24–61
Arrival probability3%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.