Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jhonny Severino

PIT · High-A · SS · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score62.3#518 Overall
Baseline57Most likely outcome
Performance53Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor52Lower-end outcome
Baseline57Most likely outcome
Ceiling62High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
53Developing performance profile
Power.268 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact22.2% KNear expected range
On-base foundation.308 OBPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit40
Power55
Run45
Field45
Arm55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh90How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection38.1
Projected Range23–54
Arrival Probability60%
Productive Role Probability6%
Player Background
OrganizationPittsburgh Pirates
LevelHigh-A
PositionSS
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 57 Latest recorded 57
61 56 51 2026-09-02 · Median 57 2026-09-03 · Median 57 2026-09-05 · Median 57 2026-09-06 · Median 57 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.6 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 57 2026-09-18 · Median 57 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-10-04 · Median 57 2026-10-05 · Median 57 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0557
2026-10-0457
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2026-09-1455.6
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2026-09-0557
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