Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Joan Ogando

HOU · High-A · P

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 22.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Performance Signal Only
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Scouting comparison unavailable

Current performance can be evaluated, but a tool-to-results comparison requires verified scouting grades

Insufficient Evidence · 0%
PB Rank#2,672
Prospect Score43
Median45
Performance37
Trend0.0%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range0.0%
354552
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 37

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 45
54 47 40 2026-06-04 · Median 50 2026-06-05 · Median 50 2026-06-06 · Median 50 2026-06-07 · Median 50 2026-06-08 · Median 50 2026-06-09 · Median 50 2026-06-10 · Median 50 2026-06-11 · Median 50 2026-06-12 · Median 50 2026-06-13 · Median 50 2026-06-14 · Median 50 2026-06-15 · Median 50 2026-06-16 · Median 50 2026-06-17 · Median 50 2026-06-18 · Median 50 2026-06-19 · Median 50 2026-06-20 · Median 50 2026-06-21 · Median 50 2026-06-22 · Median 50 2026-06-23 · Median 50 2026-06-24 · Median 50 2026-06-25 · Median 50 2026-07-23 · Median 47 2026-07-24 · Median 45 2026-07-25 · Median 45 2026-07-26 · Median 45 2026-07-27 · Median 45 2026-07-28 · Median 45 2026-07-29 · Median 45 2026-07-30 · Median 45 2026-07-31 · Median 45 2026-08-01 · Median 45 2026-08-03 · Median 44 2026-08-05 · Median 44 2026-08-07 · Median 44 2026-08-08 · Median 44 2026-08-09 · Median 44 2026-08-10 · Median 44 2026-08-11 · Median 44 2026-08-13 · Median 44 2026-08-14 · Median 46 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 45 2026-08-22 · Median 45 2026-08-23 · Median 44.1 2026-08-25 · Median 44.1 2026-08-27 · Median 44 2026-08-28 · Median 44 2026-09-01 · Median 44 2026-09-02 · Median 44 2026-09-03 · Median 44 2026-09-05 · Median 44 2026-09-06 · Median 44 2026-09-09 · Median 45 2026-09-14 · Median 44.7 2026-09-15 · Median 45 2026-09-16 · Median 45 2026-09-17 · Median 45 2026-09-18 · Median 45 2026-09-19 · Median 45 2026-09-21 · Median 45 2026-09-22 · Median 45 2026-09-24 · Median 45 2026-09-25 · Median 45 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 45

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2545
2026-09-2445
2026-09-2245
2026-09-2145
2026-09-1945
2026-09-1845
2026-09-1745
2026-09-1645
2026-09-1545
2026-09-1444.7
2026-09-0945
2026-09-0644
2026-09-0544
2026-09-0344
2026-09-0244
2026-09-0144
2026-08-2844
2026-08-2744
2026-08-2544.1
2026-08-2344.1
2026-08-2245
2026-08-2045
2026-08-1945
2026-08-1845
2026-08-1745
2026-08-1645
2026-08-1446
2026-08-1344
2026-08-1144
2026-08-1044
2026-08-0944
2026-08-0844
2026-08-0744
2026-08-0544
2026-08-0344
2026-08-0145
2026-07-3145
2026-07-3045
2026-07-2945
2026-07-2845
2026-07-2745
2026-07-2645
2026-07-2545
2026-07-2445
2026-07-2347
2026-06-2550
2026-06-2450
2026-06-2350
2026-06-2250
2026-06-2150
2026-06-2050
2026-06-1950
2026-06-1850
2026-06-1750
2026-06-1650
2026-06-1550
2026-06-1450
2026-06-1350
2026-06-1250
2026-06-1150
2026-06-1050
2026-06-0950
2026-06-0850
2026-06-0750
2026-06-0650
2026-06-0550
2026-06-0450

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G25
IP37.0
ERA14.35
WHIP2.59
K/914.6
BB/912.6
K-BB%3.6%

Asheville Tourists · High-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
354552
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 37

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 23
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence50
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production32.7
Historical 80% error band8–58
MLB arrival in 3 years5%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels0013.503004.257701083.2115.43
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Asheville TouristsHigh-A2714.35250037.0446259752602.5914.59
2025Fayetteville WoodpeckersSingle-A844.072513195.05545435691131.3110.71
2024Fayetteville WoodpeckersSingle-A105.2790013.212108113211.8313.83
2024FCL AstrosFCL226.08112126.2262018110331.3511.14
20242 teams · TotalAll levels325.80202140.1383026223541.5112.05
2023DSL Astros OrangeDSL201.7491110.1522110101.458.71

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

More Houston Astros profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.