Player Profile
Joe Vogatsky
BOS · AA · P · Age 25
Bats R · Throws RProspect Score52.7#1,335 Overall
Baseline50Most likely outcome
Performance49Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor44Lower-end outcome
Baseline50Most likely outcome
Ceiling58High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.
Performance
Selected evidence49Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.4 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command3.5 BB/9Near expected range
Traffic prevention1.43 WHIPNear expected range
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleModel Detail
ConfidenceSolid61How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection46.9
Projected Range22–72
Arrival Probability24%
Productive Role Probability3%
Player Background
OrganizationBoston Red Sox
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 42
Latest recorded 50
2026-10-05 · Median 50
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 50 |
| 2026-10-04 | 50 |
| 2026-10-03 | 50 |
| 2026-09-30 | 50 |
| 2026-09-29 | 50 |
| 2026-09-25 | 51 |
| 2026-09-24 | 51 |
| 2026-09-22 | 51 |
| 2026-09-21 | 51 |
| 2026-09-19 | 51 |
| 2026-09-18 | 51 |
| 2026-09-17 | 51 |
| 2026-09-16 | 51 |
| 2026-09-15 | 51 |
| 2026-09-14 | 50.6 |
| 2026-09-09 | 51 |
| 2026-09-06 | 42 |
| 2026-09-05 | 42 |
| 2026-09-03 | 42 |
| 2026-09-02 | 42 |