Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Joe Whitman

SF · AAA · P · Age 25

Bats L · Throws L
Prospect Score67.4#276 Overall
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Performance60Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor58Lower-end outcome
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Ceiling66High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
60Solid current performance
Miss ability9.0 K/9Near expected range
Command2.4 BB/9Above-average command
Contact management0.8 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball45
Slider55
Changeup50
Control50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh93How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.3
Projected Range23–68
Arrival Probability55%
Productive Role Probability10%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Francisco Giants
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 62
67 59.5 52 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 57 2026-09-05 · Median 57 2026-09-06 · Median 57 2026-09-09 · Median 63 2026-09-14 · Median 62.9 2026-09-15 · Median 63 2026-09-16 · Median 63 2026-09-17 · Median 63 2026-09-18 · Median 63 2026-09-19 · Median 63 2026-09-21 · Median 62 2026-09-22 · Median 62 2026-09-24 · Median 62 2026-09-25 · Median 62 2026-09-29 · Median 62 2026-09-30 · Median 62 2026-10-03 · Median 62 2026-10-04 · Median 62 2026-10-05 · Median 62 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 62

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0562
2026-10-0462
2026-10-0362
2026-09-3062
2026-09-2962
2026-09-2562
2026-09-2462
2026-09-2262
2026-09-2162
2026-09-1963
2026-09-1863
2026-09-1763
2026-09-1663
2026-09-1563
2026-09-1462.9
2026-09-0963
2026-09-0657
2026-09-0557
2026-09-0357
2026-09-0256