Player profile
Joel Ibarra
Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 24.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R
Projection updated: October 4, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.
PB Rank#6,294
Prospect Score14.1
Median23
Performance Signal-12.8
Trend0.0
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range0.0
202333
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -12.8
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 20
Latest recorded 23
2026-10-04 · Median 23
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 23 |
| 2026-10-03 | 23 |
| 2026-09-30 | 23 |
| 2026-09-29 | 23 |
| 2026-09-25 | 23 |
| 2026-09-24 | 23 |
| 2026-09-22 | 23 |
| 2026-09-21 | 23 |
| 2026-09-19 | 23 |
| 2026-09-18 | 23 |
| 2026-09-17 | 23 |
| 2026-09-16 | 23 |
| 2026-09-15 | 23.1 |
| 2026-09-14 | 23.1 |
| 2026-09-09 | 23.1 |
| 2026-09-06 | 19.6 |
| 2026-09-05 | 19.6 |
| 2026-09-03 | 19.6 |
| 2026-09-02 | 19.6 |
| 2026-09-01 | 19.6 |
| 2026-08-28 | 19.6 |
| 2026-08-27 | 19.6 |
| 2026-08-25 | 19.6 |
| 2026-08-23 | 19.6 |
| 2026-08-22 | 20 |
| 2026-08-20 | 20 |
| 2026-08-19 | 20 |
| 2026-08-18 | 20 |
| 2026-08-17 | 20 |
| 2026-08-16 | 20 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Stable
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
36
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
81
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.