Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Joel Lara

NYM · Single-A · P IL(7-Day)

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 19.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Performance Signal Only
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Scouting comparison unavailable

Current performance can be evaluated, but a tool-to-results comparison requires verified scouting grades

Insufficient Evidence · 0%
PB Rank#1,546
Prospect Score51
Median50
Performance46
Trend0.0%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range0.0%
425058
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 46

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 50
60 52.5 45 2026-06-04 · Median 53 2026-06-05 · Median 53 2026-06-06 · Median 53 2026-06-07 · Median 53 2026-06-08 · Median 53 2026-06-09 · Median 53 2026-06-10 · Median 53 2026-06-11 · Median 53 2026-06-12 · Median 53 2026-06-13 · Median 51 2026-06-14 · Median 51 2026-06-15 · Median 51 2026-06-16 · Median 51 2026-06-17 · Median 51 2026-06-18 · Median 51 2026-06-19 · Median 54 2026-06-20 · Median 54 2026-06-21 · Median 54 2026-06-22 · Median 54 2026-06-23 · Median 54 2026-06-24 · Median 54 2026-06-25 · Median 53 2026-06-26 · Median 53 2026-06-28 · Median 53 2026-06-29 · Median 53 2026-06-30 · Median 53 2026-07-01 · Median 53 2026-07-03 · Median 56 2026-07-05 · Median 56 2026-07-07 · Median 56 2026-07-09 · Median 54 2026-07-11 · Median 54 2026-07-12 · Median 54 2026-07-14 · Median 55 2026-07-16 · Median 55 2026-07-21 · Median 54 2026-07-22 · Median 54 2026-07-23 · Median 54 2026-07-24 · Median 53 2026-07-25 · Median 53 2026-07-26 · Median 53 2026-07-27 · Median 53 2026-07-28 · Median 53 2026-07-29 · Median 53 2026-07-30 · Median 53 2026-07-31 · Median 52 2026-08-01 · Median 52 2026-08-03 · Median 52 2026-08-05 · Median 52 2026-08-07 · Median 52 2026-08-08 · Median 52 2026-08-09 · Median 52 2026-08-10 · Median 52 2026-08-11 · Median 52 2026-08-13 · Median 52 2026-08-14 · Median 52 2026-08-16 · Median 51 2026-08-17 · Median 51 2026-08-18 · Median 51 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 51 2026-08-23 · Median 51.1 2026-08-25 · Median 51.1 2026-08-27 · Median 51 2026-08-28 · Median 51 2026-09-01 · Median 51 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 49.8 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
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2026-09-1550
2026-09-1449.8
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0251
2026-09-0151
2026-08-2851
2026-08-2751
2026-08-2551.1
2026-08-2351.1
2026-08-2251
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2026-08-1951
2026-08-1851
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2026-08-1052
2026-08-0952
2026-08-0852
2026-08-0752
2026-08-0552
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2026-08-0152
2026-07-3152
2026-07-3053
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2026-07-0756
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2026-06-2254
2026-06-2154
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2026-06-1954
2026-06-1851
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2026-06-1551
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2026-06-1053
2026-06-0953
2026-06-0853
2026-06-0753
2026-06-0653
2026-06-0553
2026-06-0453

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G21
IP69.2
ERA5.43
WHIP1.41
K/910.3
BB/97.0
K-BB%8.2%

St. Lucie Mets · Single-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
425058
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 46

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 23
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production39.7
Historical 80% error band15–65
MLB arrival in 3 years9%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026St. Lucie MetsSingle-A055.432113069.2444642454801.4110.33
2025St. Lucie MetsSingle-A313.4560015.2996114171.479.77
2025FCL MetsFCL213.93111118.118178119252.0212.27
20252 teams · TotalAll levels523.71171134.0272614233421.7611.12
2024DSL Mets BlueDSL212.4592118.11810505261.2512.76
2024DSL Mets OrangeDSL215.4060010.013760371.606.30
20242 teams · TotalAll levels423.49152128.131171108331.3810.48

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

More New York Mets profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.