Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Joey Oakie

CLE · High-A · P

Cleveland Guardians · Age at assessment: 20.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#920
Prospect Score57.0
Median56
Performance Signal-21.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
495661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -21.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 48 Latest recorded 56
60 52 44 2026-07-07 · Median 48 2026-07-09 · Median 48 2026-07-11 · Median 48 2026-07-12 · Median 48 2026-07-14 · Median 48 2026-07-16 · Median 48 2026-07-21 · Median 48 2026-07-22 · Median 48 2026-07-23 · Median 48 2026-08-27 · Median 54 2026-08-28 · Median 54 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.6 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-07-07 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1455.6
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0252
2026-09-0152
2026-08-2854
2026-08-2754
2026-07-2348
2026-07-2248
2026-07-2148
2026-07-1648
2026-07-1448
2026-07-1248
2026-07-1148
2026-07-0948
2026-07-0748

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 90
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
495661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -21.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence90
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection38.3
Projected range13–63
Arrival probability7%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.