Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

John Spikerman

NYM · High-A · OF

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 23.5 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,399
Prospect Score52.2
Median47
Performance Signal+7.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
424752
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 40 Latest recorded 47
51 43 35 2026-08-14 · Median 40 2026-08-16 · Median 39 2026-08-17 · Median 39 2026-08-18 · Median 39 2026-08-19 · Median 39 2026-08-20 · Median 47 2026-08-22 · Median 47 2026-08-23 · Median 46.8 2026-08-25 · Median 46.8 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 47 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
2026-09-2947
2026-09-2547
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1447
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0645
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2546.8
2026-08-2346.8
2026-08-2247
2026-08-2047
2026-08-1939
2026-08-1839
2026-08-1739
2026-08-1639
2026-08-1440

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 89
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
424752
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence89
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection38.9
Projected range21–57
Arrival probability8%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.