Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

John Spikerman

NYM · High-A · OF

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 23.5 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact results ahead of the tool grade

Current contact and on-base results are outperforming the verified hit-tool expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#1,424
Prospect Score52
Median47
Performance46
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 45; contact evidence sits near the 58th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 24.4%

What could change the read

  • A 20.1% walk rate provides meaningful approach support
  • A 0.400 OBP is keeping the offensive foundation intact

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+16.0 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 58
Game Power+11.9 percentile gap
Expected 17 Observed 29

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 41 Latest recorded 47
51 43 35 2026-07-25 · Median 41 2026-07-26 · Median 41 2026-07-27 · Median 41 2026-07-28 · Median 41 2026-07-29 · Median 41 2026-07-30 · Median 41 2026-07-31 · Median 41 2026-08-01 · Median 41 2026-08-03 · Median 41 2026-08-05 · Median 40 2026-08-07 · Median 40 2026-08-08 · Median 40 2026-08-09 · Median 40 2026-08-10 · Median 40 2026-08-11 · Median 40 2026-08-13 · Median 40 2026-08-14 · Median 40 2026-08-16 · Median 39 2026-08-17 · Median 39 2026-08-18 · Median 39 2026-08-19 · Median 39 2026-08-20 · Median 47 2026-08-22 · Median 47 2026-08-23 · Median 46.8 2026-08-25 · Median 46.8 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 47 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-07-25 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1447
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0645
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2546.8
2026-08-2346.8
2026-08-2247
2026-08-2047
2026-08-1939
2026-08-1839
2026-08-1739
2026-08-1639
2026-08-1440
2026-08-1340
2026-08-1140
2026-08-1040
2026-08-0940
2026-08-0840
2026-08-0740
2026-08-0540
2026-08-0341
2026-08-0141
2026-07-3141
2026-07-3041
2026-07-2941
2026-07-2841
2026-07-2741
2026-07-2641
2026-07-2541

Metrics to follow

K% 24.4%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 20.1%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.400

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G54
PA234
AVG.239
OBP.400
SLG.352
OPS.752
HR3
SB31
BB%20.1%
K%24.4%

3 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
424752
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 46

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence89
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production38.9
Historical 80% error band21–57
MLB arrival in 3 years8%
Productive MLB role in 3 years0%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit45Fringe
Power icon
Power30Developmental
Speed icon
Speed70Plus-Plus
Defense icon
Defense60Above Avg
Arm icon
Arm60Above Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Speed/Defense

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels73123761017647.261.387.435.822
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Brooklyn CyclonesHigh-A229373181630314172613.219.366.384.749
2026Jersey Shore BlueClawsHigh-A3013310026264209263018.260.419.340.759
2026Clearwater ThreshersSingle-A283100002410.000.500.000.500
20263 teams · TotalAll levels54234176454272325475731.239.400.352.752
2025Jersey Shore BlueClawsHigh-A24106836183107183015.217.362.277.639
2025Clearwater ThreshersSingle-A28115101152431312113712.238.330.376.707
2025FCL PhilliesFCL1036268510019103.192.417.231.647
20253 teams · TotalAll levels62257210294772320387730.224.355.319.675
2024Clearwater ThreshersSingle-A177562131441059207.226.360.323.683

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2024 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More New York Mets profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.