Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Jonah Advincula

CLE · High-A · RF

Cleveland Guardians · Age at assessment: 25.7 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,776
Prospect Score49.3
Median47
Performance Signal+7.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
394758
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 30 Latest recorded 47
51 37.5 24 2026-08-10 · Median 30 2026-08-11 · Median 30 2026-08-13 · Median 30 2026-08-14 · Median 30 2026-08-16 · Median 30 2026-08-17 · Median 30 2026-08-18 · Median 30 2026-08-19 · Median 30 2026-08-20 · Median 29.6 2026-08-27 · Median 28 2026-08-28 · Median 28 2026-09-01 · Median 28 2026-09-02 · Median 28 2026-09-03 · Median 28 2026-09-05 · Median 28 2026-09-06 · Median 28 2026-09-09 · Median 45 2026-09-14 · Median 45.4 2026-09-15 · Median 45 2026-09-16 · Median 45 2026-09-17 · Median 45 2026-09-18 · Median 45 2026-09-19 · Median 45 2026-09-21 · Median 45 2026-09-22 · Median 45 2026-09-24 · Median 45 2026-09-25 · Median 45 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-08-10 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
2026-09-2947
2026-09-2545
2026-09-2445
2026-09-2245
2026-09-2145
2026-09-1945
2026-09-1845
2026-09-1745
2026-09-1645
2026-09-1545
2026-09-1445.4
2026-09-0945
2026-09-0628
2026-09-0528
2026-09-0328
2026-09-0228
2026-09-0128
2026-08-2828
2026-08-2728
2026-08-2029.6
2026-08-1930
2026-08-1830
2026-08-1730
2026-08-1630
2026-08-1430
2026-08-1330
2026-08-1130
2026-08-1030

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 52
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 11
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
394758
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +7.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 11
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence52
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection45.5
Projected range28–63
Arrival probability21%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.