Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jonathon Long

MIA · AAA · 1B · Age 25

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score65.9#342 Overall
Baseline60Most likely outcome
Performance56Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor56Lower-end outcome
Baseline60Most likely outcome
Ceiling64High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
56Solid current performance
Offensive impact.816 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact21.6% KNear expected range
Approach12.5% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit55
Power50
Run40
Field45
Arm45

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-21

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh93How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection44.6
Projected Range27–62
Arrival Probability78%
Productive Role Probability21%
Player Background
OrganizationMiami Marlins
LevelAAA
Position1B
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 58 Latest recorded 60
64 59 54 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 59.7 2026-09-15 · Median 59 2026-09-16 · Median 59 2026-09-17 · Median 59 2026-09-18 · Median 59 2026-09-19 · Median 59 2026-09-21 · Median 59 2026-09-22 · Median 59 2026-09-24 · Median 59 2026-09-25 · Median 60 2026-09-29 · Median 60 2026-09-30 · Median 60 2026-10-03 · Median 60 2026-10-04 · Median 60 2026-10-05 · Median 60 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 60

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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2026-09-1459.7
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