Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Jordan Beltrán

STL · DSL · P · Age 18

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score35.6#3,781 Overall
Baseline39Most likely outcome
Performance40Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor28Lower-end outcome
Baseline39Most likely outcome
Ceiling55High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
40Developing performance profile
Miss ability15.6 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command8.4 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.65 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping45How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited70Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection48.1
Projected Range23–73
Arrival Probability2%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationSt. Louis Cardinals
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 39 Latest recorded 39
44 39.5 35 2026-09-02 · Median 39 2026-09-03 · Median 39 2026-09-05 · Median 39 2026-09-06 · Median 39 2026-09-09 · Median 39 2026-09-14 · Median 39.4 2026-09-15 · Median 39 2026-09-16 · Median 39 2026-09-17 · Median 39 2026-09-18 · Median 39 2026-09-19 · Median 39 2026-09-21 · Median 39 2026-09-22 · Median 39 2026-09-24 · Median 39 2026-09-25 · Median 39 2026-09-29 · Median 39 2026-09-30 · Median 39 2026-10-03 · Median 39 2026-10-04 · Median 39 2026-10-05 · Median 39 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 39

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0539
2026-10-0439
2026-10-0339
2026-09-3039
2026-09-2939
2026-09-2539
2026-09-2439
2026-09-2239
2026-09-2139
2026-09-1939
2026-09-1839
2026-09-1739
2026-09-1639
2026-09-1539
2026-09-1439.4
2026-09-0939
2026-09-0639
2026-09-0539
2026-09-0339
2026-09-0239