Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jordan Key

ATH · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#6,445
Score9.8
Baseline23
Signal-4.8
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline23
Ceiling34
Confidence22 Risk100 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Jordan Key

ATH · DSL · P

Athletics · Age at assessment: 19.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#6,445
Prospect Score9.8
Median23
Performance Signal-4.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202334
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 23 Latest recorded 23
28 23 18 2026-08-16 · Median 23 2026-08-17 · Median 23 2026-08-18 · Median 23 2026-08-19 · Median 23 2026-08-20 · Median 23 2026-08-22 · Median 23 2026-08-23 · Median 22.9 2026-08-25 · Median 22.9 2026-08-27 · Median 22.9 2026-08-28 · Median 22.9 2026-09-01 · Median 22.9 2026-09-02 · Median 22.9 2026-09-03 · Median 22.9 2026-09-05 · Median 22.9 2026-09-06 · Median 22.9 2026-09-09 · Median 23.2 2026-09-14 · Median 22.8 2026-09-15 · Median 22.8 2026-09-16 · Median 23 2026-09-17 · Median 23 2026-09-18 · Median 23 2026-09-19 · Median 23 2026-09-21 · Median 23 2026-09-22 · Median 23 2026-09-24 · Median 23 2026-09-25 · Median 23 2026-09-29 · Median 23 2026-09-30 · Median 23 2026-10-03 · Median 23 2026-10-04 · Median 23 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 23

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0423
2026-10-0323
2026-09-3023
2026-09-2923
2026-09-2523
2026-09-2423
2026-09-2223
2026-09-2123
2026-09-1923
2026-09-1823
2026-09-1723
2026-09-1623
2026-09-1522.8
2026-09-1422.8
2026-09-0923.2
2026-09-0622.9
2026-09-0522.9
2026-09-0322.9
2026-09-0222.9
2026-09-0122.9
2026-08-2822.9
2026-08-2722.9
2026-08-2522.9
2026-08-2322.9
2026-08-2223
2026-08-2023
2026-08-1923
2026-08-1823
2026-08-1723
2026-08-1623

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 22
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 100
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202334
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.8

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 100
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence22
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.