Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Jorgelys Mota

WSH · High-A · 3B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,684
Score50.0
Baseline48
Signal-2.6
Trend0.0
Floor40
Baseline48
Ceiling56
Confidence54 Risk16 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Jorgelys Mota

WSH · High-A · 3B

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 21.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,684
Prospect Score50.0
Median48
Performance Signal-2.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
404856
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 48
61 52 43 2026-08-16 · Median 50 2026-08-17 · Median 50 2026-08-18 · Median 50 2026-08-19 · Median 50 2026-08-20 · Median 57 2026-08-22 · Median 57 2026-08-23 · Median 56.8 2026-08-25 · Median 56.8 2026-08-27 · Median 57 2026-08-28 · Median 57 2026-09-01 · Median 57 2026-09-02 · Median 57 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 47.1 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1447.1
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0257
2026-09-0157
2026-08-2857
2026-08-2757
2026-08-2556.8
2026-08-2356.8
2026-08-2257
2026-08-2057
2026-08-1950
2026-08-1850
2026-08-1750
2026-08-1650

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 54
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 16
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
404856
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 16
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence54
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection29.0
Projected range11–47
Arrival probability3%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.