Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Jose Chirinos

NYM · High-A · P

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 21.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#388
Prospect Score65
Median59
Performance58
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 45; command evidence sits near the 76th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 3.3

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+4.4 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 63
Command+34.2 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 76

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 40 Latest recorded 59
63 49.5 36 2026-06-04 · Median 40 2026-06-05 · Median 40 2026-06-06 · Median 40 2026-06-07 · Median 40 2026-06-08 · Median 40 2026-06-09 · Median 40 2026-06-10 · Median 40 2026-06-11 · Median 54 2026-06-12 · Median 54 2026-06-13 · Median 54 2026-06-14 · Median 54 2026-06-15 · Median 56 2026-06-16 · Median 56 2026-06-17 · Median 56 2026-06-18 · Median 56 2026-06-19 · Median 56 2026-06-20 · Median 56 2026-06-21 · Median 55 2026-06-22 · Median 55 2026-06-23 · Median 55 2026-06-24 · Median 55 2026-06-25 · Median 55 2026-06-26 · Median 55 2026-06-28 · Median 53 2026-06-29 · Median 53 2026-06-30 · Median 53 2026-07-01 · Median 53 2026-07-03 · Median 53 2026-07-05 · Median 53 2026-07-07 · Median 53 2026-07-09 · Median 49 2026-07-11 · Median 49 2026-07-12 · Median 49 2026-07-14 · Median 49 2026-07-16 · Median 48 2026-07-21 · Median 51 2026-07-22 · Median 51 2026-07-23 · Median 51 2026-07-24 · Median 50 2026-07-25 · Median 50 2026-07-26 · Median 51 2026-07-27 · Median 51 2026-07-28 · Median 51 2026-07-29 · Median 51 2026-07-30 · Median 51 2026-07-31 · Median 51 2026-08-01 · Median 50 2026-08-03 · Median 50 2026-08-05 · Median 50 2026-08-07 · Median 50 2026-08-08 · Median 49 2026-08-09 · Median 49 2026-08-10 · Median 49 2026-08-11 · Median 49 2026-08-13 · Median 49 2026-08-14 · Median 49 2026-08-16 · Median 52 2026-08-17 · Median 52 2026-08-18 · Median 52 2026-08-19 · Median 52 2026-08-20 · Median 52 2026-08-22 · Median 52 2026-08-23 · Median 52 2026-08-25 · Median 52 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 59 2026-09-14 · Median 58.8 2026-09-15 · Median 59 2026-09-16 · Median 59 2026-09-17 · Median 59 2026-09-18 · Median 59 2026-09-19 · Median 59 2026-09-21 · Median 59 2026-09-22 · Median 59 2026-09-24 · Median 59 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 59

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2459
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Metrics to follow

BB/9 3.3

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.30

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 17.1%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G24
IP114.0
ERA3.39
WHIP1.26
K/99.9
BB/93.3
K-BB%17.1%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
555964
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 58

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence90
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production45.7
Historical 80% error band25–67
MLB arrival in 3 years32%
Productive MLB role in 3 years3%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball50Avg
Slider icon
Slider55Avg
Cutter icon
Cutter50Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup45Fringe
Command icon
Control45Fringe
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCutterChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels014.152208.2104423121.5012.46
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Brooklyn CyclonesHigh-A174.001515072.0683532932771.399.63
2026St. Lucie MetsSingle-A312.3697042.0341611310481.0510.29
20262 teams · TotalAll levels483.3924220114.0102514312421251.269.87
2025St. Lucie MetsSingle-A523.201510056.1402420130511.248.15
2025FCL MetsFCL012.3543015.1115406221.1112.91
20252 teams · TotalAll levels533.011913071.2512924136731.219.17
2024St. Lucie MetsSingle-A009.001001.01110213.009.00
2024FCL MetsFCL136.14127036.2353125024431.6110.55
20242 teams · TotalAll levels136.21137037.2363226026441.6510.51
2023DSL Mets OrangeDSL054.621111039.0402620117511.4611.77
2022DSL Mets 2DSL044.91128033.0312618618291.487.91

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More New York Mets profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.